📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Alemannia Aachen x SV Lippstadt 08
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Analysis from Alemannia Aachen x SV Lippstadt 08 for the Germany Regionalliga West – 22 of January
🏟️ Alemannia Aachen X SV Lippstadt 08 – Germany Regionalliga West
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alemannia Aachen and SV Lippstadt 08.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alemannia Aachen x SV Lippstadt 08
Is it worth betting on Alemannia Aachen?
🔵 Alemannia Aachen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $540.50
- And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$10.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $575.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.
Is it worth betting on SV Lippstadt 08?
🔴 SV Lippstadt 08: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $546.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alemannia Aachen x SV Lippstadt 08
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Alemannia Aachen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alemannia Aachen x SV Lippstadt 08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Alemannia Aachen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alemannia Aachen.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alemannia Aachen x SV Lippstadt 08
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves