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Home » Predictions » Others » Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Alfaro Alfaro
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Arenas Club de Getxo Arenas Club de Getxo
ODD: @2.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
16:00
Alfaro Alfaro
3.55
X
2.70
Arenas Club de Getxo Arenas Club de Getxo
2.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1350.00!

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Important information for your tip for Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfaro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arenas Club de Getxo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
👉 Alfaro did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Alfaro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 Arenas Club de Getxo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 9 of March

🏟️ Alfaro X Arenas Club de Getxo – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Alfaro – Winning probability: 17.65% | Fair line: 5.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.76% | Fair line: 2.58
🔴 Arenas Club de Getxo – Winning probability: 43.59% | Fair line: 2.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Alfaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo

Should you bet on Alfaro?

🔵 Alfaro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $459.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$361.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $663.00
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$53.00.

Is it worth betting on Arenas Club de Getxo?

🔴 Arenas Club de Getxo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Alfaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Alfaro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Alfaro.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfaro x Arenas Club de Getxo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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