Alfaro x Gernika Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 12/1/2025 16:00 |
 Alfaro2.51 |
X 2.99 |
Gernika  2.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alfaro x Gernika:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1495.00!
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The main points for the tip for Alfaro x Gernika: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfaro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. |
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Analysis from Alfaro x Gernika for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 12 of January
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🏟️ Alfaro X Gernika – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
When the best bet on Alfaro x Gernika is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alfaro x Gernika
Should you bet on Alfaro?
🔵 Alfaro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $483.20;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$196.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $736.30
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$106.30.
Is it worth betting on Gernika?
🔴 Gernika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alfaro x Gernika
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alfaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfaro x Gernika
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Alfaro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Alfaro.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfaro x Gernika
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
