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Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans Betting tips for January 22 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans, Saturday, 22/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 22/1/2022
15:00
Alfreton Town
1.47
X
4.26
Blyth Spartans
5.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Alfreton Town wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alfreton Town, you can win up to $735.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Looking for another bookie to bet on Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans for the England National League North – 22 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Alfreton Town X Blyth Spartans – England National League North
๐Ÿ“… 22 of January, 2022 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Alfreton Town – Winning probability: 87.78% | Fair line: 1.14
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.73% | Fair line: 14.87
๐Ÿ”ด Blyth Spartans – Winning probability: 5.50% | Fair line: 18.19
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alfreton Town
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans

Should you bet on Alfreton Town?

๐Ÿ”ต Alfreton Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $413.60;
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$293.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $228.48
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$701.52.

Should you bet on Blyth Spartans?

๐Ÿ”ด Blyth Spartans: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $220.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$730.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Alfreton Town
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Alfreton Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Alfreton Town.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Blyth Spartans.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfreton Town x Blyth Spartans

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Are you already following our tips on YouTube?

Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Saturday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves