Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe Betting tips for March 11 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe, Tuesday, 11/3/2025

📅 11/3/2025
19:45

Alfreton Town
3.80

X
3.25

Scunthorpe

1.93

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe:

🔮 Scunthorpe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Scunthorpe, you can win up to $965.00!

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The main points for the tip for Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfreton Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Scunthorpe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 3 Scunthorpe matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Alfreton Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Scunthorpe has not lost any of them.

Summary

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Analysis from Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe for the England National League North – 11 of March

🏟️ Alfreton Town X Scunthorpe – England National League North
📅 11 of March, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Alfreton Town – Winning probability: 13.35% | Fair line: 7.49
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.14% | Fair line: 3.55
🔴 Scunthorpe – Winning probability: 58.51% | Fair line: 1.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Alfreton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alfreton Town and Scunthorpe.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe

Is it worth betting on Alfreton Town?

🔵 Alfreton Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $364.00;
And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$506.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Should you bet on Scunthorpe?

🔴 Scunthorpe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 590 times – profiting $548.70;
And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$138.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Alfreton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Alfreton Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Alfreton Town.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Alfreton Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfreton Town x Scunthorpe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.