Alfreton Town x Southport Betting tips for February 4 in England National League North
π
4/2/2025 19:45 |
![]() 1.91 |
X 3.41 |
Southport ![]() 3.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alfreton Town x Southport:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Alfreton Town x Southport
The main points for the tip for Alfreton Town x Southport: π If you had bet $100 on Alfreton Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. |

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Analysis from Alfreton Town x Southport for the England National League North – 4 of February
ποΈ Alfreton Town X Southport – England National League North |
When the best bet on Alfreton Town x Southport is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256585 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Southport
Is it worth betting on Alfreton Town?
π΅ Alfreton Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $445.90;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$64.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $698.90;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$11.10.
Is betting on Southport worth it?
π΄ Southport: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$208.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alfreton Town x Southport
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alfreton Town
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Southport
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Alfreton Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Alfreton Town. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfreton Town x Southport
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.