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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Alfreton Town x Southport Betting tips for February 4 in England National League North
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h45 England National League North
Alfreton Town Alfreton Town
PREDICTION No tip
Southport Southport
Don't miss this prediction!

Alfreton Town x Southport Betting tips for February 4 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Alfreton Town x Southport, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
πŸ“… 4/2/2025
19:45
Alfreton Town Alfreton Town
1.91
X
3.41
Southport Southport
3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alfreton Town x Southport:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Alfreton Town x Southport

The main points for the tip for Alfreton Town x Southport:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Alfreton Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Southport in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Southport, Alfreton Town scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Alfreton Town x Southport, with Alfreton Town as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Alfreton Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Southport conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Alfreton Town has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Southport playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Alfreton Town as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alfreton Town x Southport?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Alfreton Town x Southport:

Analysis from Alfreton Town x Southport for the England National League North – 4 of February

🏟️ Alfreton Town X Southport – England National League North
πŸ“… 4 of February, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Alfreton Town – Winning probability: 49.21% | Fair line: 2.03
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.58% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ Southport – Winning probability: 22.20% | Fair line: 4.5
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alfreton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alfreton Town x Southport is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256585 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Southport

Is it worth betting on Alfreton Town?

πŸ”΅ Alfreton Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $445.90;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$64.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $698.90;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$11.10.

Is betting on Southport worth it?

πŸ”΄ Southport: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alfreton Town x Southport

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alfreton Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alfreton Town x Southport

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Alfreton Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Alfreton Town. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alfreton Town x Southport

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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