Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC Betting tips for March 14 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 23:00

Alianza Atletico 1.58

X 3.65

Cusco FC 6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC:

🔮 Alianza Atletico wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alianza Atletico, you can win up to $790.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Atletico in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $828.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cusco FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1030.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Alianza Atletico scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cusco FC, Alianza Atletico scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Alianza Atletico is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Alianza Atletico has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cusco FC playing at home.

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Analysis from Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC for the Peru Liga 1 – 14 of March

When the best bet on Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281359 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC

Is it worth betting on Alianza Atletico?

🔵 Alianza Atletico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 750 times – profiting $435.00;
• And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $450.50
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$379.50.

Should you bet on Cusco FC?

🔴 Cusco FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $400.00
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$520.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alianza Atletico
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Alianza Atletico, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Alianza Atletico.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Cusco FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza Atletico x Cusco FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.