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Home » Predictions » Others » Alianza x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for April 15 in Colombia Primera A
Tuesday, 15 April 2025, 21h00 Colombia Primera A
Alianza Alianza
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
Don't miss this prediction!

Alianza x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for April 15 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Alianza x Deportivo Pasto, Tuesday, 15/4/2025
📅 15/4/2025
21:00
Alianza Alianza
2.33
X
2.85
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
3.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alianza x Deportivo Pasto:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Alianza x Deportivo Pasto

Important information for your tip for Alianza x Deportivo Pasto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $51.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
👉 In the last 6 Deportivo Pasto matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Alianza x Deportivo Pasto?

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Analysis from Alianza x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Primera A – 15 of April

🏟️ Alianza X Deportivo Pasto – Colombia Primera A
📅 15 of April, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Alianza – Winning probability: 51.02% | Fair line: 1.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.25% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 Deportivo Pasto – Winning probability: 13.72% | Fair line: 7.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alianza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alianza x Deportivo Pasto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304535 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alianza x Deportivo Pasto

Is betting on Alianza worth it?

🔵 Alianza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $678.30
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$188.30. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $647.50;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$2.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Pasto?

🔴 Deportivo Pasto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $315.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$545.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza x Deportivo Pasto

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alianza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza x Deportivo Pasto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Alianza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alianza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alianza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza x Deportivo Pasto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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