Alianza FC x CD Aguila Betting tips for April 13 in El Salvador Clausura

Our betting tip for Alianza FC x CD Aguila, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 21:30

Alianza FC 2.31

X 2.87

CD Aguila 2.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alianza FC x CD Aguila:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Alianza FC x CD Aguila: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $107.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Aguila in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-168.0. 👉 Alianza FC did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CD Aguila scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against CD Aguila, Alianza FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Alianza FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Alianza FC x CD Aguila, with Alianza FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 CD Aguila received red cards as the away team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Alianza FC. 👉 Playing as the home team, Alianza FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against CD Aguila. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, CD Aguila has not lost any of them. 👉 Alianza FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against CD Aguila playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Alianza FC x CD Aguila?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Alianza FC x CD Aguila for the El Salvador Clausura – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alianza FC x CD Aguila right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila

Is it a good idea to bet on Alianza FC?

🔵 Alianza FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $510.90
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$99.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $673.20;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$33.20.

Should you bet on CD Aguila?

🔴 CD Aguila: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $468.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$292.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza FC x CD Aguila

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alianza FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Alianza FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alianza FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 CD Aguila.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza FC x CD Aguila

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.