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Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves Betting tips for January 16 in El Salvador Reserves League

Our betting tip for Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves, Sunday, 16/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 16/1/2022
18:00
Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves
1.38
X
4.72
AD Isidro Metapan Reserves
6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves, you can win up to $688.25!

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๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

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Analysis from Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves for the El Salvador Reserves League – 16 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves X AD Isidro Metapan Reserves – El Salvador Reserves League
๐Ÿ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves – Winning probability: 77.03% | Fair line: 1.3
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.34% | Fair line: 6.98
๐Ÿ”ด AD Isidro Metapan Reserves – Winning probability: 8.63% | Fair line: 11.59
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288253 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

Is betting on Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $289.91
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$59.91.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $521.50
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$338.50.

Should you bet on AD Isidro Metapan Reserves?

๐Ÿ”ด AD Isidro Metapan Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$460.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 AD Isidro Metapan Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza FC San Salvador Reserves x AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves