Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional Betting tips for July 6 in Peru Liga 1
| 📅 6/7/2025 01:00 |
 Alianza Lima1.10 |
X 8.50 |
Deportivo Binacional  17.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional:
🔮 Alianza Lima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alianza Lima, you can win up to $550.00!
The main points for the tip for Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Lima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Binacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Binacional, Alianza Lima scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Alianza Lima matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Binacional conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Alianza Lima has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Deportivo Binacional.
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Analysis from Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional for the Peru Liga 1 – 6 of July
🏟️ Alianza Lima X Deportivo Binacional – Peru Liga 1
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Alianza Lima – Winning probability: 99.38% | Fair line: 1.01
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.53% | Fair line: 187.83
🔴 Deportivo Binacional – Winning probability: 0.09% | Fair line: 1111.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Alianza Lima
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alianza Lima and Deportivo Binacional.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1348834 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional
Should you bet on Alianza Lima?
🔵 Alianza Lima: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $99.00
- And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$89.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $75.00
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$915.00.
Is it worth betting on Deportivo Binacional?
🔴 Deportivo Binacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 17.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Alianza Lima
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 Alianza Lima, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 Alianza Lima.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza Lima x Deportivo Binacional
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
