Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau Betting tips for April 18 in Peru Liga 1
| 📅 18/4/2025 01:00 |
 Alianza Universidad2.20 |
X 3.20 |
Atletico Grau  3.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau:
🔮 Atletico Grau wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Grau, you can win up to $1550.00!
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Important information for your tip for Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Universidad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0. |
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Analysis from Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau for the Peru Liga 1 – 18 of April
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🏟️ Alianza Universidad X Atletico Grau – Peru Liga 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305782 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau
Should you bet on Alianza Universidad?
🔵 Alianza Universidad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $456.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $528.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.
Is betting on Atletico Grau worth it?
🔴 Atletico Grau: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $798.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$178.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alianza Universidad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Alianza Universidad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alianza Universidad.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atletico Grau.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza Universidad x Atletico Grau
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
