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Home » Predictions » Others » Almeria x Real Zaragoza Betting tips for March 15 in Spain Segunda
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 17h30 Spain Segunda
Almeria Almeria
PREDICTION Almeria wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Almeria x Real Zaragoza Betting tips for March 15 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Almeria x Real Zaragoza, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
17:30
Almeria Almeria
1.65
X
3.79
Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza
4.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Almeria x Real Zaragoza:

🔮 Almeria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Almeria, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Almeria x Real Zaragoza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Almeria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Zaragoza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Almeria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Real Zaragoza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Zaragoza, Almeria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Real Zaragoza matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Almeria conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Real Zaragoza conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Almeria has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Real Zaragoza playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Almeria x Real Zaragoza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Almeria x Real Zaragoza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Almeria x Real Zaragoza for the Spain Segunda – 15 of March

🏟️ Almeria X Real Zaragoza – Spain Segunda
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 17:30
🔵 Almeria – Winning probability: 70.64% | Fair line: 1.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.02% | Fair line: 5.55
🔴 Real Zaragoza – Winning probability: 11.35% | Fair line: 8.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Almeria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Almeria x Real Zaragoza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Almeria x Real Zaragoza

Is betting on Almeria worth it?

🔵 Almeria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $461.50;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$171.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $502.20;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Zaragoza?

🔴 Real Zaragoza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $412.50;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$477.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Almeria x Real Zaragoza

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Almeria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almeria x Real Zaragoza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Almeria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Almeria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Real Zaragoza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almeria x Real Zaragoza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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