Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025
18:30

Almirante Brown
2.85

X
2.90

Gimnasia Mendoza

2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza:

🔮 Gimnasia Mendoza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gimnasia Mendoza, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Important information for your tip for Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Almirante Brown in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia Mendoza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $455.0.
👉 In the last 5 Almirante Brown matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Gimnasia Mendoza matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza, with Almirante Brown as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Gimnasia Mendoza has not lost any of them.

Summary

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Analysis from Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza for the Argentina Nacional B – 13 of April

🏟️ Almirante Brown X Gimnasia Mendoza – Argentina Nacional B
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Almirante Brown – Winning probability: 18.40% | Fair line: 5.43
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.57% | Fair line: 3.27
🔴 Gimnasia Mendoza – Winning probability: 51.03% | Fair line: 1.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Almirante Brown
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Almirante Brown and Gimnasia Mendoza.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza

Is it worth betting on Almirante Brown?

🔵 Almirante Brown: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $333.00;
And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$487.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is betting on Gimnasia Mendoza worth it?

🔴 Gimnasia Mendoza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $765.00
And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$275.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Almirante Brown
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Almirante Brown, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Almirante Brown.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almirante Brown x Gimnasia Mendoza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.