Alta x Vålerenga 2 Betting tips for September 29 in Norway Division 2 Group 2

Our betting tip for Alta x Vålerenga 2, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Alta 1.15

X 7.50

Vålerenga 2 10.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alta x Vålerenga 2:

🔮 Alta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alta, you can win up to $575.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Alta x Vålerenga 2: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valerenga 2 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Alta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Valerenga 2, Alta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Valerenga 2 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Alta x Valerenga 2, with Alta as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Alta conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Valerenga 2 conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Alta conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Valerenga 2. 👉 It is not a good time for Valerenga 2 as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Alta x Vålerenga 2 for the Norway Division 2 Group 2 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alta x Vålerenga 2 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alta x Vålerenga 2

Is betting on Alta worth it?

🔵 Alta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – profiting $148.50;
• And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$138.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $65.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$925.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Vålerenga 2?

🔴 Vålerenga 2: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alta x Vålerenga 2

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Alta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alta x Vålerenga 2

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Alta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Alta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Vålerenga 2.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alta x Vålerenga 2

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.