Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
| 📅 12/1/2025 15:00 |
 Alverca B2.15 |
X 2.90 |
Benfica e Castelo Branco  3.20 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!
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The main points for the tip for Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alverca B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco:
Analysis from Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January
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🏟️ Alverca B X Benfica e Castelo Branco – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco
Is it a good idea to bet on Alverca B?
🔵 Alverca B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $391.00;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $779.00
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$189.00.
Is betting on Benfica e Castelo Branco worth it?
🔴 Benfica e Castelo Branco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $550.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alverca B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Alverca B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Alverca B.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Benfica e Castelo Branco.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alverca B x Benfica e Castelo Branco
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
