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Home » Predictions » Others » Alverca x UD Leiria Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h30 Portugal Segunda Liga
Alverca Alverca
PREDICTION UD Leiria Wins Probability 32% 1 X 2
UD Leiria UD Leiria
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Alverca x UD Leiria Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for Alverca x UD Leiria, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:30
Alverca Alverca
2.25
X
3.08
UD Leiria UD Leiria
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alverca x UD Leiria:

🔮 UD Leiria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Leiria, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Alverca x UD Leiria:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alverca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Leiria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Alverca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, UD Leiria conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Alverca conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against UD Leiria.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Alverca x UD Leiria?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alverca x UD Leiria, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Alverca x UD Leiria for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 2 of February

🏟️ Alverca X UD Leiria – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Alverca – Winning probability: 38.61% | Fair line: 2.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.43% | Fair line: 3.52
🔴 UD Leiria – Winning probability: 32.96% | Fair line: 3.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Alverca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alverca x UD Leiria is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alverca x UD Leiria

Should you bet on Alverca?

🔵 Alverca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $487.50;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $582.40;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.60.

Is it worth betting on UD Leiria?

🔴 UD Leiria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$23.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Alverca x UD Leiria

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Alverca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alverca x UD Leiria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Alverca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alverca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 UD Leiria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alverca x UD Leiria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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