America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for December 7 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin, Sunday, 7/12/2025

📅 7/12/2025 19:00

America de Cali 3.16

X 3.14

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2.28

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Important information for your tip for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on America de Cali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $131.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, America de Cali scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atletico Nacional Medellin, America de Cali scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, America de Cali conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, America de Cali conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
👉 America de Cali has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Atletico Nacional Medellin playing at home.

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Analysis from America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449543 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news on America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin

América de Cali: América de Cali is facing a challenging period on two fronts: after relocating their Copa Libertadores home games to Alfonso López Stadium in Bucaramanga, the scarlet team started the group stage with a 0-2 loss to Cerro Portño, and a few weeks later, they were eliminated from the Copa Sudamericana after a 2-1 defeat to Junior, leading coach Alex Escobar to lament the teams lack of character and failure to “present” a match; the club is also dealing with security concerns related to closed-door matches in Santander, and in womens football, the team remains near the bottom of the Libertadores Feminina group with only one point, highlighting broader issues of performance and logistics this season.

Atlético Nacional: Atlético Nacional beat Independiente Medellín 2-1 in the Paisa derby in the fifth round of Group A of Liga BetPlay 2025-II, a victory that kept their campaign alive with eight points and a goal difference of +1; however, they still need to beat América de Cali in the last round and hope that Juniors result over Medellín is favorable to reach the championship final, while the team will be without coach Alejandro Restrepo, who is serving a three-match suspension after his expulsion in the recent match against Junior.

Tips for the Match Odds market for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Should you bet on America de Cali?

🔵 America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $691.20;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$11.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $684.80;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$4.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $460.80
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$179.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 America de Cali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 America de Cali.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.