📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for America de Cali x Envigado FC
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Analysis from America de Cali x Envigado FC for the Colombia Primera A – 21 of January
🏟️ America de Cali X Envigado FC – Colombia Primera A
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between America de Cali and Envigado FC.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290148 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for America de Cali x Envigado FC
Is betting on America de Cali worth it?
🔵 America de Cali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $341.00;
- And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $768.50
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$58.50.
Should you bet on Envigado FC?
🔴 Envigado FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $412.20
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$497.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match America de Cali x Envigado FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 America de Cali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America de Cali x Envigado FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 America de Cali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 America de Cali.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America de Cali x Envigado FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves