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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» America MG Women x Gremio RS Women Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A1 Women
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 18h00 Brazil Serie A1 Women
America MG Women America MG Women
PREDICTION No tip
Gremio RS Women Gremio RS Women
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America MG Women x Gremio RS Women Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A1 Women

Our betting tip for America MG Women x Gremio RS Women, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
πŸ“… 16/4/2025
18:00
America MG Women America MG Women
2.40
X
3.25
Gremio RS Women Gremio RS Women
2.51

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for America MG Women x Gremio RS Women:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for America MG Women x Gremio RS Women

Some important points for the tip for America MG Women x Gremio RS Women:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on America MG Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-244.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gremio RS Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, America MG Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Gremio RS Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, America MG Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Gremio RS Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from America MG Women x Gremio RS Women for the Brazil Serie A1 Women – 16 of April

🏟️ America MG Women X Gremio RS Women – Brazil Serie A1 Women
πŸ“… 16 of April, 2025 – 18:00
πŸ”΅ America MG Women – Winning probability: 40.13% | Fair line: 2.49
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.03% | Fair line: 4.0
πŸ”΄ Gremio RS Women – Winning probability: 34.84% | Fair line: 2.87
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 America MG Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on America MG Women x Gremio RS Women is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304980 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for America MG Women x Gremio RS Women

Is it worth betting on America MG Women?

πŸ”΅ America MG Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $562.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$187.50.

Is betting on Gremio RS Women worth it?

πŸ”΄ Gremio RS Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $528.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$121.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match America MG Women x Gremio RS Women

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 America MG Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America MG Women x Gremio RS Women

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 America MG Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 America MG Women.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America MG Women x Gremio RS Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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