📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Amiens x AC Ajaccio
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Analysis from Amiens x AC Ajaccio for the France Ligue 2 – 19 of January
🏟️ Amiens X AC Ajaccio – France Ligue 2
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Amiens x AC Ajaccio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289909 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Amiens x AC Ajaccio
Is it a good idea to bet on Amiens?
🔵 Amiens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $410.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$390.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – profiting $1069.20;
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$609.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on AC Ajaccio?
🔴 AC Ajaccio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $345.80
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$394.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Amiens x AC Ajaccio
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Amiens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amiens x AC Ajaccio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Amiens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Amiens.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amiens x AC Ajaccio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves