Amiens x Caen Betting tips for March 14 in France Ligue 2
| 📅 14/3/2025 19:00 |
 Amiens2.80 |
X 3.18 |
Caen  2.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Amiens x Caen:
🔮 Amiens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amiens, you can win up to $1400.00!
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The main points for the tip for Amiens x Caen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Amiens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0. |
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Analysis from Amiens x Caen for the France Ligue 2 – 14 of March
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🏟️ Amiens X Caen – France Ligue 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amiens and Caen.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Amiens x Caen
Is betting on Amiens worth it?
🔵 Amiens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $756.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $479.60;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$300.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Caen?
🔴 Caen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Amiens x Caen
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amiens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amiens x Caen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Amiens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Amiens.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Amiens.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amiens x Caen
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
