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Home » Predictions » Others » Amora x Serpa Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Amora Amora
PREDICTION Amora wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Serpa Serpa
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Amora x Serpa Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Amora x Serpa, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
15:00
Amora Amora
1.85
X
3.28
Serpa Serpa
3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Amora x Serpa:

🔮 Amora wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amora, you can win up to $925.00!

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The main points for the tip for Amora x Serpa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Amora in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Serpa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $173.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Amora scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Serpa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Amora conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Amora x Serpa for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

🏟️ Amora X Serpa – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Amora – Winning probability: 56.92% | Fair line: 1.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.04% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 Serpa – Winning probability: 18.03% | Fair line: 5.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amora
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amora and Serpa.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Amora x Serpa

Is it worth betting on Amora?

🔵 Amora: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $484.50;
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $570.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$180.00.

Should you bet on Serpa?

🔴 Serpa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $486.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$334.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Amora x Serpa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Amora
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amora x Serpa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Amora and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Amora.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Serpa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amora x Serpa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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