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Home » Predictions » Others » Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 10h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Amorebieta Amorebieta
PREDICTION Amorebieta wins Probability 34% 1 X 2
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
10:00
Amorebieta Amorebieta
2.90
X
3.25
Celta Fortuna Celta Fortuna
2.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna:

🔮 Amorebieta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amorebieta, you can win up to $1450.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Amorebieta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Fortuna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $325.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Celta Fortuna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Amorebieta matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Amorebieta conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Celta Fortuna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Celta Fortuna has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 11 of May

🏟️ Amorebieta X Celta Fortuna – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Amorebieta – Winning probability: 34.05% | Fair line: 2.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.50% | Fair line: 3.92
🔴 Celta Fortuna – Winning probability: 40.45% | Fair line: 2.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Amorebieta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amorebieta and Celta Fortuna.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322631 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna

Should you bet on Amorebieta?

🔵 Amorebieta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $646.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$14.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Is betting on Celta Fortuna worth it?

🔴 Celta Fortuna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Amorebieta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Amorebieta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Amorebieta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Amorebieta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amorebieta x Celta Fortuna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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