Amorebieta x Sestao River Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Amorebieta x Sestao River, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 16:30

Amorebieta 2.37

X 2.88

Sestao River 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Amorebieta x Sestao River:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Amorebieta x Sestao River

Important information for your tip for Amorebieta x Sestao River: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Amorebieta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sestao River in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $960.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Amorebieta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sestao River, Amorebieta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Amorebieta conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Sestao River has not lost any of them. 👉 Amorebieta has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sestao River playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Amorebieta x Sestao River?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Amorebieta x Sestao River, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Amorebieta x Sestao River for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Amorebieta and Sestao River.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Amorebieta x Sestao River

Should you bet on Amorebieta?

🔵 Amorebieta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $616.50;
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$66.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $526.40;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Should you bet on Sestao River?

🔴 Sestao River: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$190.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Amorebieta x Sestao River

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Amorebieta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Amorebieta x Sestao River

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Amorebieta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Amorebieta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Amorebieta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Amorebieta x Sestao River

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.