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16/1/2022 17:30 |
 Anderlecht1.47 |
X 4.40 |
Standard Liege  6.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Anderlecht x Standard Liege:
๐ฎ Anderlecht wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Anderlecht, you can win up to $735.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Anderlecht x Standard Liege
Looking for another bookie to bet on Anderlecht x Standard Liege?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Anderlecht x Standard Liege:
Analysis from Anderlecht x Standard Liege for the Belgium First Division A – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Anderlecht X Standard Liege – Belgium First Division A |
When the best bet on Anderlecht x Standard Liege is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288253 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Anderlecht x Standard Liege
Is it worth betting on Anderlecht?
๐ต Anderlecht: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 750 times – profiting $352.50;
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$102.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $612.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$208.00.
Should you bet on Standard Liege?
๐ด Standard Liege: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $300.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$640.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Anderlecht x Standard Liege
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Anderlecht
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Anderlecht x Standard Liege
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Anderlecht, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Anderlecht.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Anderlecht.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Anderlecht x Standard Liege
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
