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Analysis from Antwerp Reserves x Standard Liege Reserves for the Belgium Reserve League – 17 of January
🏟️ Antwerp Reserves X Standard Liege Reserves – Belgium Reserve League
When the best bet on Antwerp Reserves x Standard Liege Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288856 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Antwerp Reserves x Standard Liege Reserves
Is it a good idea to bet on Antwerp Reserves?
🔵 Antwerp Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $570.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.
Is betting on Standard Liege Reserves worth it?
🔴 Standard Liege Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
- And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$56.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Antwerp Reserves x Standard Liege Reserves
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Antwerp Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Antwerp Reserves x Standard Liege Reserves
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Antwerp Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Antwerp Reserves.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Standard Liege Reserves.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Antwerp Reserves x Standard Liege Reserves
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves