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Home » Predictions » APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 Betting tips for October 1 in Brazil U20 League
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h00 Brazil U20 League
APAFUT U20 APAFUT U20
PREDICTION APAFUT U20 wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 CE Bento Goncalves RS U20
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 Betting tips for October 1 in Brazil U20 League

Our betting tip for APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
15:00
APAFUT U20 APAFUT U20
1.60
X
3.90
CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 CE Bento Goncalves RS U20
4.35

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20:

🔮 APAFUT U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on APAFUT U20, you can win up to $800.00!

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Important information for your tip for APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on APAFUT U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 APAFUT U20 matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 for the Brazil U20 League – 1 of October

🏟️ APAFUT U20 X CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 – Brazil U20 League
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 APAFUT U20 – Winning probability: 73.48% | Fair line: 1.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.08% | Fair line: 7.1
🔴 CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 – Winning probability: 12.44% | Fair line: 8.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 APAFUT U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20

Is it a good idea to bet on APAFUT U20?

🔵 APAFUT U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $438.00;
  • And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$168.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $406.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is it worth betting on CE Bento Goncalves RS U20?

🔴 CE Bento Goncalves RS U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $402.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$478.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 APAFUT U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 APAFUT U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 APAFUT U20.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 CE Bento Goncalves RS U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for APAFUT U20 x CE Bento Goncalves RS U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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