APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta Betting tips for November 30 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 16:00

APK Karmotissa 3.02

X 3.30

Anorthosis Famagusta 2.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta

Some important points for the tip for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Anorthosis Famagusta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 Anorthosis Famagusta did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, APK Karmotissa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 APK Karmotissa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, APK Karmotissa conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Anorthosis Famagusta conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, APK Karmotissa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Anorthosis Famagusta. 👉 It is not a good time for Anorthosis Famagusta as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Anorthosis Famagusta won the last 4 head-to-head matches APK Karmotissa´s territory

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Analysis from APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta for the Cyprus Division 1 – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta

Should you bet on APK Karmotissa?

🔵 APK Karmotissa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $525.20
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$214.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $690.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Anorthosis Famagusta?

🔴 Anorthosis Famagusta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $506.00;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 APK Karmotissa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 APK Karmotissa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 APK Karmotissa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Anorthosis Famagusta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for APK Karmotissa x Anorthosis Famagusta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.