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Home » Predictions » Others » Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol Betting tips for December 2 in Cyprus Division 1
Monday, 02 December 2024, 17h00 Cyprus Division 1
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Aris Limassol Aris Limassol
ODD: @3.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol Betting tips for December 2 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
17:00
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
2.20
X
3.12
Aris Limassol Aris Limassol
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1560.00!

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Important information for your tip for Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Apoel Nicosia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $323.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aris Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Apoel Nicosia scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Aris Limassol, Apoel Nicosia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Apoel Nicosia is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Apoel Nicosia has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Aris Limassol.

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Summary

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Analysis from Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol for the Cyprus Division 1 – 2 of December

🏟️ Apoel Nicosia X Aris Limassol – Cyprus Division 1
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Apoel Nicosia – Winning probability: 38.48% | Fair line: 2.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.06% | Fair line: 2.7
🔴 Aris Limassol – Winning probability: 24.46% | Fair line: 4.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Apoel Nicosia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230608 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol

Is it a good idea to bet on Apoel Nicosia?

🔵 Apoel Nicosia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$164.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $784.40;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$154.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Aris Limassol?

🔴 Aris Limassol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Apoel Nicosia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Apoel Nicosia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Apoel Nicosia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Aris Limassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apoel Nicosia x Aris Limassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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