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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni Betting tips for September 29 in Cyprus Division 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Cyprus Division 1
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
PREDICTION Apollon Limassol wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Enosis Paralimni Enosis Paralimni
ODD: @1.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni Betting tips for September 29 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
13:00
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
1.28
X
4.80
Enosis Paralimni Enosis Paralimni
8.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Apollon Limassol wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Apollon Limassol, you can win up to $640.00!

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The main points for the tip for Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Apollon Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-227.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Apollon Limassol scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Enosis Paralimni scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Apollon Limassol conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Enosis Paralimni has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni:

Analysis from Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni for the Cyprus Division 1 – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Apollon Limassol X Enosis Paralimni – Cyprus Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Apollon Limassol – Winning probability: 92.67% | Fair line: 1.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.83% | Fair line: 17.16
๐Ÿ”ด Enosis Paralimni – Winning probability: 1.50% | Fair line: 66.67
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Apollon Limassol
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni

Is betting on Apollon Limassol worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Apollon Limassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $260.40;
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$190.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $228.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$712.00.

Is betting on Enosis Paralimni worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Enosis Paralimni: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $75.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$915.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Apollon Limassol
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Apollon Limassol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Apollon Limassol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Apollon Limassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apollon Limassol x Enosis Paralimni

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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