📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika
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If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika for the Greece Super League 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Apollon Smyrnis X Aris Salonika – Greece Super League 1
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika
Should you bet on Apollon Smyrnis?
🔵 Apollon Smyrnis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $315.70;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$574.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.
Is it worth betting on Aris Salonika?
🔴 Aris Salonika: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $616.40;
- And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$286.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Apollon Smyrnis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Apollon Smyrnis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Apollon Smyrnis.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Aris Salonika.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apollon Smyrnis x Aris Salonika
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves