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Home » Predictions » Others » Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana Betting tips for February 4 in Ethiopia Premier League
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 15h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Arba Minch Arba Minch
PREDICTION Hadiya Hossana Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
ODD: @2.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana Betting tips for February 4 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
15:00
Arba Minch Arba Minch
2.36
X
2.91
Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
2.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana:

🔮 Hadiya Hossana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hadiya Hossana, you can win up to $1425.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arba Minch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $184.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hadiya Hossana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $490.0.
👉 In the last 7 Hadiya Hossana matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana for the Ethiopia Premier League – 4 of February

🏟️ Arba Minch X Hadiya Hossana – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Arba Minch – Winning probability: 22.38% | Fair line: 4.47
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.93% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 Hadiya Hossana – Winning probability: 44.69% | Fair line: 2.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Arba Minch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana

Is betting on Arba Minch worth it?

🔵 Arba Minch: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $299.20
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $630.30
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hadiya Hossana?

🔴 Hadiya Hossana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $832.50;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$282.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Arba Minch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Arba Minch, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Arba Minch.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Hadiya Hossana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arba Minch x Hadiya Hossana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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