Arbroath x Dumbarton Betting tips for March 15 in Scotland League One

Our betting tip for Arbroath x Dumbarton, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 15:00

Arbroath 1.41

X 4.50

Dumbarton 6.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arbroath x Dumbarton:

🔮 Arbroath wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arbroath, you can win up to $705.00!

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Important information for your tip for Arbroath x Dumbarton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arbroath in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $263.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dumbarton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Arbroath scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Dumbarton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Dumbarton, Arbroath scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Arbroath matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Dumbarton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Dumbarton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Arbroath conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Dumbarton. 👉 Arbroath is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Dumbarton as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Arbroath x Dumbarton for the Scotland League One – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arbroath x Dumbarton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arbroath x Dumbarton

Should you bet on Arbroath?

🔵 Arbroath: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $364.90;
• And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$254.90.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $245.00
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$685.00.

Should you bet on Dumbarton?

🔴 Dumbarton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $204.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$756.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arbroath x Dumbarton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Arbroath
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arbroath x Dumbarton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Arbroath and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Arbroath.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arbroath x Dumbarton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.