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Home » Predictions » Others » Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group B
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Arezzo Arezzo
PREDICTION Arezzo wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:30
Arezzo Arezzo
1.65
X
3.36
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
4.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio:

🔮 Arezzo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arezzo, you can win up to $825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arezzo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Pineto Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $405.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, ASD Pineto Calcio scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio for the Italy Serie C Group B – 12 of January

🏟️ Arezzo X Asd Pineto Calcio – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Arezzo – Winning probability: 68.93% | Fair line: 1.45
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.64% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 Asd Pineto Calcio – Winning probability: 9.43% | Fair line: 10.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arezzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio

Is it worth betting on Arezzo?

🔵 Arezzo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $448.50;
  • And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$138.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $519.20;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$260.80.

Is betting on Asd Pineto Calcio worth it?

🔴 Asd Pineto Calcio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $340.20;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$569.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arezzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Arezzo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Arezzo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Asd Pineto Calcio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arezzo x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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