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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Arezzo x Ternana Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Italy Serie C Group B
Arezzo Arezzo
PREDICTION No tip
Ternana Ternana
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Arezzo x Ternana Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Arezzo x Ternana, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Arezzo Arezzo
2.80
X
2.90
Ternana Ternana
2.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arezzo x Ternana:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Arezzo x Ternana

The main points for the tip for Arezzo x Ternana:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arezzo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $342.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ternana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
πŸ‘‰ Arezzo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Arezzo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Arezzo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Arezzo is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Ternana has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arezzo x Ternana?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Arezzo x Ternana:

Analysis from Arezzo x Ternana for the Italy Serie C Group B – 29 of September

🏟️ Arezzo X Ternana – Italy Serie C Group B
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ Arezzo – Winning probability: 23.68% | Fair line: 4.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.02% | Fair line: 2.78
πŸ”΄ Ternana – Winning probability: 40.30% | Fair line: 2.48
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Arezzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Arezzo x Ternana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arezzo x Ternana

Is betting on Arezzo worth it?

πŸ”΅ Arezzo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$328.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$44.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ternana?

πŸ”΄ Ternana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $580.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arezzo x Ternana

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Arezzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arezzo x Ternana

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Arezzo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Arezzo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Ternana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arezzo x Ternana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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