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Home » Predictions » Others » Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 18h30 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino Merlo Argentino Merlo
PREDICTION Argentino Merlo wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
San Martin De Burzaco San Martin De Burzaco
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
18:30
Argentino Merlo Argentino Merlo
2.30
X
2.75
San Martin De Burzaco San Martin De Burzaco
3.16

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco:

🔮 Argentino Merlo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentino Merlo, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentino Merlo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Martin De Burzaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against San Martin De Burzaco, Argentino Merlo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Argentino Merlo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, San Martin De Burzaco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Argentino Merlo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against San Martin De Burzaco.
👉 Argentino Merlo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against San Martin De Burzaco playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 13 of April

🏟️ Argentino Merlo X San Martin De Burzaco – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Argentino Merlo – Winning probability: 54.05% | Fair line: 1.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.41% | Fair line: 3.4
🔴 San Martin De Burzaco – Winning probability: 16.54% | Fair line: 6.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Argentino Merlo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco

Is it worth betting on Argentino Merlo?

🔵 Argentino Merlo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $702.00;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$242.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $507.50
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.50.

Should you bet on San Martin De Burzaco?

🔴 San Martin De Burzaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $367.20;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$462.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Argentino Merlo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Argentino Merlo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Argentino Merlo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentino Merlo x San Martin De Burzaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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