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Home » Predictions » Others » Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo Betting tips for November 4 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Tuesday, 04 November 2025, 18h30 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
PREDICTION No tip
Argentino Merlo Argentino Merlo
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Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo Betting tips for November 4 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo, Tuesday, 4/11/2025
📅 4/11/2025
18:30
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
2.69
X
2.86
Argentino Merlo Argentino Merlo
2.69

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo

Important information for your tip for Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentino Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentino Merlo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Argentino Merlo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Argentino Quilmes has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Argentino Merlo playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 4 of November

🏟️ Argentino Quilmes X Argentino Merlo – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
📅 4 of November, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Argentino Quilmes – Winning probability: 31.14% | Fair line: 3.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.66% | Fair line: 2.88
🔴 Argentino Merlo – Winning probability: 34.20% | Fair line: 2.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Argentino Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1431844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo

Should you bet on Argentino Quilmes?

🔵 Argentino Quilmes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $523.90;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$166.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $651.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Argentino Merlo?

🔴 Argentino Merlo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $574.60;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$85.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Argentino Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Argentino Quilmes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Argentino Quilmes.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentino Quilmes x Argentino Merlo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves