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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 18h30 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
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Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio, Saturday, 12/4/2025
πŸ“… 12/4/2025
18:30
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
2.08
X
2.92
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
3.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio

The main points for the tip for Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Argentino Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $158.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Armenio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Argentino Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Armenio, Argentino Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio, with Argentino Quilmes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Argentino Quilmes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Deportivo Armenio.
πŸ‘‰ Argentino Quilmes has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Armenio playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio?

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Analysis from Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 12 of April

🏟️ Argentino Quilmes X Deportivo Armenio – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
πŸ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Argentino Quilmes – Winning probability: 44.98% | Fair line: 2.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.39% | Fair line: 2.91
πŸ”΄ Deportivo Armenio – Winning probability: 20.63% | Fair line: 4.85
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Argentino Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio

Is it a good idea to bet on Argentino Quilmes?

πŸ”΅ Argentino Quilmes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $486.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $652.80
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$7.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Deportivo Armenio?

πŸ”΄ Deportivo Armenio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $541.80;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$248.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Argentino Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Argentino Quilmes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Argentino Quilmes.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentino Quilmes x Deportivo Armenio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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