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Home » Predictions » Others » Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas Betting tips for December 1 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 20h00 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
PREDICTION Argentino Quilmes wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Excursionistas Excursionistas
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas Betting tips for December 1 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
20:00
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
1.75
X
3.10
Excursionistas Excursionistas
4.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas:

🔮 Argentino Quilmes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentino Quilmes, you can win up to $875.00!

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The main points for the tip for Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentino Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $242.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Excursionistas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Argentino Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Excursionistas, Argentino Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Argentino Quilmes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Excursionistas.
👉 Argentino Quilmes has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Excursionistas playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 1 of December

🏟️ Argentino Quilmes X Excursionistas – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Argentino Quilmes – Winning probability: 68.53% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.94% | Fair line: 4.56
🔴 Excursionistas – Winning probability: 9.53% | Fair line: 10.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Argentino Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas

Is it worth betting on Argentino Quilmes?

🔵 Argentino Quilmes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $517.50;
  • And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$207.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Should you bet on Excursionistas?

🔴 Excursionistas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $340.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Argentino Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Argentino Quilmes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Argentino Quilmes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Argentino Quilmes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentino Quilmes x Excursionistas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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