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Home » Predictions » Others » Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 30 September 2024, 19h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
PREDICTION Argentinos Jrs wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
ODD: @2.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
19:00
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
2.15
X
2.95
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán:

🔮 Argentinos Jrs wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentinos Jrs, you can win up to $1075.00!

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Important information for your tip for Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentinos Jrs in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlético Tucumán in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atlético Tucumán, Argentinos Jrs scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán, with Argentinos Jrs as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Argentinos Jrs conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Atlético Tucumán.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 30 of September

🏟️ Argentinos Jrs X Atlético Tucumán – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Argentinos Jrs – Winning probability: 71.24% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.27% | Fair line: 4.93
🔴 Atlético Tucumán – Winning probability: 8.49% | Fair line: 11.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Argentinos Jrs
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192575 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán

Is it worth betting on Argentinos Jrs?

🔵 Argentinos Jrs: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $816.50;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$526.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$410.00.

Should you bet on Atlético Tucumán?

🔴 Atlético Tucumán: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $208.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$712.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Argentinos Jrs
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Argentinos Jrs, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Argentinos Jrs.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Argentinos Jrs.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentinos Jrs x Atlético Tucumán

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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