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Home » Predictions » Others » Aris Limassol x Pafos FC Betting tips for January 11 in Cyprus Division 1
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 17h00 Cyprus Division 1
Aris Limassol Aris Limassol
PREDICTION Pafos FC Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Pafos FC Pafos FC
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Aris Limassol x Pafos FC Betting tips for January 11 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Aris Limassol x Pafos FC, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
17:00
Aris Limassol Aris Limassol
2.50
X
3.10
Pafos FC Pafos FC
2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Aris Limassol x Pafos FC:

🔮 Pafos FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pafos FC, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Aris Limassol x Pafos FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aris Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pafos FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-74.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Aris Limassol scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pafos FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Pafos FC, Aris Limassol scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Aris Limassol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Pafos FC.
👉 Aris Limassol is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Pafos FC has not lost any of them.
👉 Aris Limassol has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Pafos FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aris Limassol x Pafos FC for the Cyprus Division 1 – 11 of January

🏟️ Aris Limassol X Pafos FC – Cyprus Division 1
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Aris Limassol – Winning probability: 22.53% | Fair line: 4.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.15% | Fair line: 4.51
🔴 Pafos FC – Winning probability: 55.32% | Fair line: 1.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Aris Limassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aris Limassol and Pafos FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aris Limassol x Pafos FC

Is it worth betting on Aris Limassol?

🔵 Aris Limassol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $345.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$425.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Is betting on Pafos FC worth it?

🔴 Pafos FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $797.50;
  • And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$347.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aris Limassol x Pafos FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Aris Limassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aris Limassol x Pafos FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Aris Limassol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Aris Limassol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Pafos FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aris Limassol x Pafos FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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