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Home » Predictions » Others » Aris Salonika x AEK Athens Betting tips for March 9 in Greece Super League 1
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 17h00 Greece Super League 1
Aris Salonika Aris Salonika
PREDICTION AEK Athens Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
AEK Athens AEK Athens
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Aris Salonika x AEK Athens Betting tips for March 9 in Greece Super League 1

Our betting tip for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
17:00
Aris Salonika Aris Salonika
5.00
X
3.50
AEK Athens AEK Athens
1.67

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens:

🔮 AEK Athens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Athens, you can win up to $835.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aris Salonika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $212.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AEK Athens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against AEK Athens, Aris Salonika scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 AEK Athens matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Aris Salonika conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against AEK Athens.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aris Salonika x AEK Athens for the Greece Super League 1 – 9 of March

🏟️ Aris Salonika X AEK Athens – Greece Super League 1
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Aris Salonika – Winning probability: 7.20% | Fair line: 13.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.28% | Fair line: 5.19
🔴 AEK Athens – Winning probability: 73.51% | Fair line: 1.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Aris Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aris Salonika and AEK Athens.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens

Should you bet on Aris Salonika?

🔵 Aris Salonika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $280.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $475.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on AEK Athens worth it?

🔴 AEK Athens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $495.80;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$235.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aris Salonika x AEK Athens

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Aris Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Aris Salonika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Aris Salonika.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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