📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Aris Salonika x Lamia
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Analysis from Aris Salonika x Lamia for the Greece Cup – 20 of January
🏟️ Aris Salonika X Lamia – Greece Cup
When the best bet on Aris Salonika x Lamia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290148 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aris Salonika x Lamia
Is it a good idea to bet on Aris Salonika?
🔵 Aris Salonika: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $319.95
- And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$129.95.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $369.60;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$510.40.
Should you bet on Lamia?
🔴 Lamia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $390.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aris Salonika x Lamia
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aris Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aris Salonika x Lamia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Aris Salonika, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Aris Salonika.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Lamia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aris Salonika x Lamia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Thursday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves