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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow Betting tips for September 29 in Poland I Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Poland I Liga
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
PREDICTION Arka Gdynia wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow Betting tips for September 29 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
07:00
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
1.40
X
4.50
Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow
6.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Arka Gdynia wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arka Gdynia, you can win up to $700.00!

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Important information for your tip for Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arka Gdynia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chrobry Glogow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Arka Gdynia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Chrobry Glogow conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Arka Gdynia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Chrobry Glogow.

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Summary

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Analysis from Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow for the Poland I Liga – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Arka Gdynia X Chrobry Glogow – Poland I Liga
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
๐Ÿ”ต Arka Gdynia – Winning probability: 86.90% | Fair line: 1.15
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.27% | Fair line: 10.78
๐Ÿ”ด Chrobry Glogow – Winning probability: 3.82% | Fair line: 26.16
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arka Gdynia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow

Is it worth betting on Arka Gdynia?

๐Ÿ”ต Arka Gdynia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $348.00
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$218.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $315.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$595.00.

Is betting on Chrobry Glogow worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Chrobry Glogow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $228.00
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$732.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arka Gdynia
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Arka Gdynia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Arka Gdynia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Arka Gdynia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arka Gdynia x Chrobry Glogow

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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