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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Armagh City x Institute Betting tips for March 14 in Northern Ireland Championship
Friday, 14 March 2025, 19h45 Northern Ireland Championship
Armagh City Armagh City
PREDICTION No tip
Institute Institute
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Armagh City x Institute Betting tips for March 14 in Northern Ireland Championship

Our betting tip for Armagh City x Institute, Friday, 14/3/2025
πŸ“… 14/3/2025
19:45
Armagh City Armagh City
2.78
X
3.75
Institute Institute
2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Armagh City x Institute:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Armagh City x Institute

Important information for your tip for Armagh City x Institute:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Armagh City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Institute in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-248.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Institute scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Institute, Armagh City scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Institute matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Armagh City x Institute, with Armagh City as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Armagh City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Institute conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Armagh City conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Institute.

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Summary

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Analysis from Armagh City x Institute for the Northern Ireland Championship – 14 of March

🏟️ Armagh City X Institute – Northern Ireland Championship
πŸ“… 14 of March, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Armagh City – Winning probability: 24.51% | Fair line: 4.08
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.00% | Fair line: 4.0
πŸ”΄ Institute – Winning probability: 50.49% | Fair line: 1.98
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Armagh City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Armagh City x Institute right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Armagh City x Institute

Is betting on Armagh City worth it?

πŸ”΅ Armagh City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $445.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$305.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $687.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$62.50.

Is betting on Institute worth it?

πŸ”΄ Institute: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$25.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Armagh City x Institute

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Armagh City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Armagh City x Institute

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Armagh City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Armagh City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Institute.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Armagh City x Institute

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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