Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken Betting tips for March 11 in Germany 3. Liga

Our betting tip for Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken, Tuesday, 11/3/2025

📅 11/3/2025 18:00

Arminia Bielefeld 2.30

X 3.25

Saarbrucken 2.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken:

🔮 Arminia Bielefeld wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arminia Bielefeld, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Important information for your tip for Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arminia Bielefeld in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $252.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Saarbrucken in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Arminia Bielefeld scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Arminia Bielefeld matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Arminia Bielefeld conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Saarbrucken conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Arminia Bielefeld is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken for the Germany 3. Liga – 11 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arminia Bielefeld and Saarbrucken.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken

Is betting on Arminia Bielefeld worth it?

🔵 Arminia Bielefeld: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$104.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $472.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Saarbrucken?

🔴 Saarbrucken: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $579.70;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$110.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Arminia Bielefeld
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Arminia Bielefeld, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Arminia Bielefeld.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arminia Bielefeld x Saarbrucken

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.