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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Arminia Bielefeld x Verl Betting tips for September 29 in Germany 3.Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 14h30 Germany 3.Liga
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
PREDICTION Arminia Bielefeld wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Verl Verl
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Arminia Bielefeld x Verl Betting tips for September 29 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for Arminia Bielefeld x Verl, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
14:30
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
1.83
X
3.60
Verl Verl
3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arminia Bielefeld x Verl:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Arminia Bielefeld wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arminia Bielefeld, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Arminia Bielefeld x Verl:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arminia Bielefeld in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Verl in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Verl scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Arminia Bielefeld matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Verl conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Arminia Bielefeld has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Verl playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Arminia Bielefeld x Verl?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Arminia Bielefeld x Verl:

Analysis from Arminia Bielefeld x Verl for the Germany 3.Liga – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Arminia Bielefeld X Verl – Germany 3.Liga
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Arminia Bielefeld – Winning probability: 60.17% | Fair line: 1.66
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.98% | Fair line: 4.77
๐Ÿ”ด Verl – Winning probability: 18.85% | Fair line: 5.3
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Arminia Bielefeld
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arminia Bielefeld x Verl right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arminia Bielefeld x Verl

Should you bet on Arminia Bielefeld?

๐Ÿ”ต Arminia Bielefeld: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $498.00
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$98.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$244.00.

Should you bet on Verl?

๐Ÿ”ด Verl: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arminia Bielefeld x Verl

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Arminia Bielefeld
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arminia Bielefeld x Verl

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Arminia Bielefeld and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Arminia Bielefeld.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Verl.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arminia Bielefeld x Verl

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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