Arosa x Somozas Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Arosa x Somozas, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 17:00

Arosa 1.67

X 3.40

Somozas 4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arosa x Somozas:

🔮 Arosa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arosa, you can win up to $835.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Arosa x Somozas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arosa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Somozas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Arosa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Somozas, Arosa scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Arosa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Arosa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Arosa has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Somozas playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Arosa x Somozas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arosa x Somozas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Arosa x Somozas for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 13 of April

When the best bet on Arosa x Somozas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arosa x Somozas

Should you bet on Arosa?

🔵 Arosa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $469.00;
• And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$169.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$320.00.

Should you bet on Somozas?

🔴 Somozas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$540.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arosa x Somozas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Arosa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arosa x Somozas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Arosa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Arosa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Arosa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arosa x Somozas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.