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Home » Predictions » Others » Arsenal x Manchester United Betting tips for January 12 in England FA Cup
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 England FA Cup
Arsenal Arsenal
PREDICTION Arsenal wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Manchester United Manchester United
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Arsenal x Manchester United Betting tips for January 12 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Manchester United, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
15:00
Arsenal Arsenal
1.57
X
4.10
Manchester United Manchester United
5.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arsenal x Manchester United:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Arsenal x Manchester United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-114.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $162.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Manchester United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Arsenal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Manchester United playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arsenal x Manchester United?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Arsenal x Manchester United for the England FA Cup – 12 of January

🏟️ Arsenal X Manchester United – England FA Cup
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 80.52% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.81% | Fair line: 11.36
🔴 Manchester United – Winning probability: 10.67% | Fair line: 9.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Arsenal x Manchester United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Manchester United

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $461.70;
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$271.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $279.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$631.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester United?

🔴 Manchester United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $462.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$428.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Manchester United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Arsenal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Arsenal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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